Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 18.568165 21.462392 24.591902 28.218900 32.297972 36.734764 41.916668
2025-09-28 13.146637 17.016067 21.606721 27.413969 34.519757 42.884119 53.423443
2025-10-05 11.085897 15.646833 21.449949 29.279634 39.458645 52.124415 68.939571
2025-10-12 9.577413 14.543698 21.242404 30.770193 43.775328 60.683595 84.063492
2025-10-19 8.121391 13.189232 20.397010 31.143755 46.455150 67.134252 96.743141
2025-10-26 6.946092 12.006173 19.562159 31.319504 48.724554 73.034289 108.917866
2025-11-02 5.872747 10.783469 18.467572 30.917739 50.020404 77.543212 119.319144
2025-11-09 4.955556 9.651620 17.339284 30.284650 50.828369 81.297064 128.752160
2025-11-16 4.180958 8.628225 16.235640 29.529200 51.312394 84.511735 137.478986
2025-11-23 3.477397 7.610278 14.999038 28.393953 51.044633 86.493142 144.377367
2025-11-30 3.203849 7.352419 15.036295 29.377980 54.235784 93.949254 159.972495
2025-12-07 2.909171 7.003991 14.861968 29.958770 56.768745 100.472955 174.408798
2025-12-14 2.477611 6.332601 14.061750 29.445471 57.580999 104.570897 185.738757
2025-12-21 2.071626 5.644928 13.149666 28.649679 57.875089 107.914458 196.205183
2025-12-28 1.986222 5.666903 13.656777 30.594331 63.216661 120.042844 221.785516
2026-01-04 1.870114 5.593401 13.952116 32.143456 67.934719 131.359291 246.572761
2026-01-11 1.672736 5.278821 13.687148 32.531547 70.492882 139.045015 265.564738
2026-01-18 1.485825 4.951172 13.344940 32.714061 72.651275 146.118299 283.822925
2026-01-25 1.285389 4.541269 12.753848 32.296913 73.584720 151.008723 298.466709
2026-02-01 1.099481 4.127533 12.090003 31.639519 73.965190 154.874938 311.440699
2026-02-08 0.933841 3.731693 11.407219 30.854971 74.002896 158.070970 323.319371
2026-02-15 0.775052 3.312985 10.597056 29.675799 73.100766 159.397933 331.795834
2026-02-22 0.726138 3.248985 10.712604 30.697914 76.960091 170.095931 358.133239